|
June 19, 2020
|
|
|
State prisons nationwide house approximately 1,306,000
inmates, which is more than
half (57%) of the total population of incarcerated
individuals on any given day in the
United States. Program evaluation is essential to
ensuring that state prison systems adopt effective
programs and policies. The gold standard methodology for
evaluating outcomes of programs and policies is the
randomized controlled trial (RCT). This paper presents an
overview of the RCT design as a program evaluation
method, describes examples of RCT evaluations in both
criminal justice generally and a state prison context
specifically, and also discusses considerations and
challenges to be addressed when seeking to conduct an RCT
evaluation in a state prison. The takeaway from this
paper is that, while conducting RCT evaluations can be
met with skepticism and challenges in a state prison
environment, it is possible to overcome these challenges
and to conduct RCT evaluations in state prisons in order
to best determine the impact of state prison policies and
programs.
|
Source: National Institute of Justice
|
|
This study uses quasi-experimental analyses to estimate
the effectiveness of police-operated CCTV cameras in
Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Most studies have focused on how
cameras can deter crime. But, like many other agencies,
the Milwaukee Police Department strategically deployed
their cameras in high-crime, high-traffic intersections
to aid criminal investigations. Thus, this study examines
the impact of CCTV cameras on crimes and crime
clearances. The authors also examined the differential
impacts of CCTV in three treatment groups: all
intersections that received a new camera, intersections
where new cameras were installed alongside existing
cameras, and intersections where only new cameras were
installed. The authors used propensity score matching to
create comparison groups of camera-free intersections,
then employed difference-in-differences estimation with
negative binomial and Poisson panel regression models to
determine whether CCTV cameras have an impact on various
categories of crimes and clearances. Despite overall
crime declines in Milwaukee during the study period, the
authors found that treatment intersections experienced
more crimes post-intervention than comparison areas,
likely because camera operators were using them to detect
incidents that would have otherwise gone unreported. They
also found limited evidence that CCTV cameras improve
crime clearances.
|
Source: Urban Institute
|
|
Jails and prisons are major sites of novel coronavirus
(SARS-CoV-2) infection. Many jurisdictions in the United
States have therefore accelerated release of low-risk
offenders. Early release, however, does not address how
arrest and pre-trial detention practices may be
contributing to disease spread. Using data from Cook
County Jail, in Chicago, Illinois, one of the largest
known nodes of SARS-CoV-2 spread, the authors analyze the
relationship between jailing practices and community
infections at the zip-code level. The authors find that
jail cycling (i.e., cycling in and out of jail) is a
significant predictor of SARS-CoV-2 infection, accounting
for 55% of the variance in case rates across zip codes in
Chicago and 37% in Illinois. By comparison, jail cycling
far exceeds race, poverty, public transit utilization,
and population density as a predictor of variance. The
data suggest that cycling through Cook County Jail alone
is associated with 15.7% of all documented novel
coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Illinois and
15.9% in Chicago as of April 19, 2020.
|
Source: Health Affairs
|
|
|
In the 2015–16 school year, 52% of undergraduates were
enrolled in sub-baccalaureate programs, and 69% of these
sub-baccalaureate students were enrolled in occupational
education programs. Among these occupational education
students, health sciences was the most common field of
study, followed by business and marketing. These
sub-baccalaureate health sciences students more commonly
enrolled in public 2-year institutions than in other
types of institutions, as did sub-baccalaureate students
in general. Both sub-baccalaureate health sciences
students and sub-baccalaureate students in general more
often sought an associate’s degree than a certificate.
However, a smaller proportion of health sciences students
than sub-baccalaureate students in general sought an
associate’s degree, and a higher proportion sought a
certificate. Compared with all undergraduate students,
higher proportions of sub-baccalaureate students are
women, older adults, and Black and Hispanic. These
findings are accentuated within health sciences for
women, older adults, and Black students. Although 58% of
all sub-baccalaureate students were female, this number
increased to 83% within the health sciences. In addition,
a larger proportion of health sciences students were age
25 or older compared with sub-baccalaureate students in
general. Finally, the proportion of students in health
sciences who were Black was larger than the proportion
among all sub-baccalaureate students.
|
Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, U.S.
Department of Education
|
|
Public school facilities primarily serve an educational
role, and they also serve a civic role as voting places
and emergency shelters. School districts collectively
spend tens of billions of dollars each year on facilities
construction needs at the nearly 100,000 K-12 public
schools nationwide. This report examines (1) the common
facility condition issues school districts identify in
public schools and how they have done so and (2) school
districts’ highest priorities for their school facility
renovations and updates, and how districts and states
fund them. The authors found that districts’ highest
priorities for school facilities were improving security,
expanding technology, and addressing health hazards;
about half of districts needed to update or replace
multiple systems like heating, ventilation, and air
conditioning (HVAC) or plumbing; an estimated one-third
of schools needed HVAC system updates; and funding for
school facilities primarily came from local government
sources.
|
Source: U.S Government Accountability Office
|
|
Schools funded by the Bureau of Indian Education (BIE)
are required under the
federal Individuals with Disabilities Education Act
(IDEA) to provide services for eligible
students with disabilities, such as learning disabilities
or health impairments.
Services for these students are listed in individualized
education programs (IEP). The authors found that BIE
schools did not provide or did not account for 38% of
special education and related service time for students
with disabilities, according to analysis of school
documentation for a 4-month review period. This included
one school that did not provide any services to three
students. While BIE has plans to improve documentation of
such services, it has not established whether and when
missed services should be made up, which has led to
inconsistent practices among schools. Establishing
consistent requirements for making up missed services
could help students receive the special education and
related services they need to make academic progress.
|
Source: U.S Government Accountability Office
|
|
Student-centered learning describes various approaches
that keep students' goals, interests, and needs central
to the teaching and learning process. Despite the recent
proliferation of student-centered learning approaches,
researchers and practitioners are still learning about
which strategies are most effective for supporting
student achievement and how to measure them. This report
summarizes a study on the validity, reliability, and
usability of the Measuring and Improving Student-Centered
Learning Toolkit, which was developed to help school
systems measure, understand, and reflect on the extent of
student-centered learning and equitable distribution of
student-centered learning opportunities in high schools.
Key findings are that the toolkit instruments measure
student-centered learning constructs as intended and may
be useful in differentiating among schools with differing
levels of student-centered learning. Survey scales were
generally internally consistent and could be used to
distinguish among the responses of individual students,
instructional staff, school leaders, and district
leaders. Although users found that the toolkit process
provided them with useful information, they also found
the process burdensome and lengthy. User concerns about
the burden of toolkit administration and its potential
evaluative nature led to revisions of some toolkit content.
|
Source: RAND Corporation
|
|
|
This report looks at the roughly 18 million Americans, or
about 7% of the adult population, who were veterans of
the U.S. Armed Forces in 2018. Ranging from 18 to over
100 years old, they served in conflicts as diverse as the
Korean War and the Global War on Terrorism. This report
provides an overview of these men and women, such as how
many veterans alive today served in World War II, the
characteristics of Vietnam veterans, and how many Gulf
War veterans are disabled. Highlights from the report
include: the number of veterans in the United States
declined by a third, from 26.4 million to 18.0 million
between 2000 and 2018; there are fewer than 500,000 World
War II veterans alive today, down from 5.7 million in
2000; women make up a growing share of veterans – today,
about 9% of veterans (or 1.7 million) are women and by
2040 that number is projected to rise to 17%; the largest
cohort of veterans alive today served during the Vietnam
Era (6.4 million), which lasted from 1964 to 1975; the
second largest cohort of veterans served during peacetime
only (4.0 million); and the median age of veterans today
is 65 years. By service period, Post-9/11 veterans are
the youngest with a median age of about 37, Vietnam Era
veterans have a median age of about 71, and World War II
veterans are the oldest with a median age of about 93.
|
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
|
|
This report focuses on the role (and aggregates the
wisdom) of a specific set of intermediaries that are
doing development differently in rural America. In the
report they are called Rural Development Hubs (or Hubs
for short). The report focuses on Rural Development Hubs
because they are main players advancing an asset-based,
wealth-building, approach to rural community and economic
development in the United States. They are the most
visible actors in rural America designing and
implementing efforts that simultaneously (1) increase and
improve the assets that are fundamental to current and
future prosperity: individual, intellectual, social,
cultural, built, natural, political and financial
capital; (2) increase the local ownership and control of
those assets; and (3) always include low-income people,
places and firms in the design of their efforts — and in
the benefits. In short, Hubs focus on all the critical
ingredients in a region’s system that either advance or
impede prosperity — the integrated range of social,
economic, health and environmental conditions needed for
people and places to thrive. The report recommends
increased investments in rural America, increasing the
nation’s rural cultural competency, learning from trust
already developed in existing Hubs, eradicating
government systems and structures that disadvantage rural
areas, and designing policies and programs with rural
implementation in mind.
|
Source: Aspen Institute
|
|
Even before the COVID-19 pandemic, millions of Americans
lacked stable, affordable housing. Now, the crisis has
highlighted the social and economic costs of this crucial
gap in the safety net. People living in poor-quality,
overcrowded, or unstable housing—or without any home at
all—cannot follow public health directives to safely
“shelter in place.” As a result, they are at far greater
risk of contracting the virus, along with other chronic
illness. Once the current public health crisis has been
contained, policymakers should make more serious efforts
to reduce the number of households who lack affordable,
stable, decent-quality housing, and focus on three goals:
(1) Increase the amount of long-term affordable rental
housing, especially in high-opportunity communities; (2)
protect existing affordable rental housing from physical
deterioration and financial insecurity; (3) support
affordable housing projects currently in the pipeline
that face financial obstacles due to the pandemic. In
this piece, the authors explain why each of these goals
is critical to supporting affordable housing
infrastructure across the U.S. They then explore
strategies aimed at achieving the first goal,
specifically through the acquisition of existing housing.
Several policies used in recent decades offer lessons for
the design of similar programs moving forward, providing
both examples to emulate and pitfalls to avoid. Future
work will explore policy models that support the second
and third goals. Finally, they pose a series of policy
design questions to help stakeholders tailor policies to
local needs and capacities.
|
Source: Brookings Institute
|
|
|
Infectious disease models can help guide policy
decisions, such as how to allocate health care resources
in response to COVID-19. Interpreting them requires
understanding their purpose, limitations, and
assumptions. For example, a model may project the need
for hospital beds based on the assumption that past
trends will continue. But if human behavior changes—for
instance, if social distancing is relaxed—then the
forecast is likely to be less accurate. A noted
statistician once said, “All models are wrong, but some
are useful.” In other words, all outbreak models simplify
reality but can still help with decisions and to improve
understanding. This report provides information on
COVID-19 modeling, opportunities for using infections
disease models, and challenges with using infectious
disease models.
|
Source: U.S Government Accountability Office
|
|
Governments around the world are responding to the novel
coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic with unprecedented
policies designed to slow the growth rate of infections.
Many actions, such as closing schools and restricting
populations to their homes, impose large and visible
costs on society, but their benefits cannot be directly
observed and are currently understood only through
process-based simulations. Here, the authors compile new
data on 1,717 local, regional, and national
non-pharmaceutical interventions deployed in the ongoing
pandemic across localities in China, South Korea, Italy,
Iran, France, and the United States. They then apply
reduced-form econometric methods, commonly used to
measure the effect of policies on economic growth, to
empirically evaluate the effect that these anti-contagion
policies have had on the growth rate of infections. In
the absence of policy actions, they estimate that early
infections of COVID-19 exhibit exponential growth rates
of roughly 38% per day. The authors find that
anti-contagion policies have significantly and
substantially slowed this growth. Some policies have
different impacts on different populations, but the
authors obtain consistent evidence that the policy
packages now deployed are achieving large, beneficial,
and measurable health outcomes. They estimate that across
these six countries, interventions prevented or delayed
on the order of 62 million confirmed cases, corresponding
to averting roughly 530 million total infections. These
findings may help inform whether or when these policies
should be deployed, intensified, or lifted, and they can
support decision-making in the other 180+ countries where
COVID-19 has been reported.
|
Source: Nature
|
|
Many people have raised concerns about the accuracy of
COVID-19 data from China. This report presents strong
evidence that China's reported COVID-19 caseload was
undercounted by a factor of nearly 40. The authors used a
COVID-19 Air Traffic Visualization tool to estimate the
likely number of infections in China in early 2020. The
tool combines COVID-19 case data from Johns Hopkins
University with detailed air travel data from the
International Air Transport Association. From December
31, 2019, to January 22, 2020, China reported a daily
average of 172 cases of COVID-19 among its residents.
This number of confirmed cases was equivalent to just one
per 8.2 million residents in the country per day. Using
the detailed flight data over that same period of time,
the authors determined that the five countries most at
risk of importing COVID-19 from China were, in descending
order of risk, Japan, Thailand, South Korea, the United
States, and Taiwan. But far fewer than 8.2 million
passengers flew from China to the five countries over
that 23-day period. Just more than 1 million passengers
flew from China to Japan and Thailand each, while
slightly more than 750,000 flew to South Korea, 500,000
flew to the United States, and fewer than 400,000 flew to
Taiwan. Thus, all of these passengers from China totaled
fewer than 3.7 million, for an expected COVID-19
exportation rate of less than one case to all five of
these countries combined. However, COVID-19 cases were
already being reported in all five countries during this
time. This trend would be exceedingly unlikely given the
low reported case count in China.
|
Source: RAND Corporation
|
N O T E : An online subscription may be required to view some items.
|
OPPAGA is
currently seeking applications for
Legislative Policy Analysts
and Senior Legislative Analysts. Salary is commensurate with experience.
|
|
Government Program Summaries (GPS) is a free resource for legislators and the public
that provides descriptive information on over 200 state government programs. To provide
fiscal data, GPS links to Transparency Florida, the Legislature's website that includes
continually updated information on the state's operating budget and daily expenditures
by state agencies.
|
A publication of the Florida Legislature's Office of Program Policy Analysis & Government Accountability
PolicyNotes, published every Friday, features reports, articles, and websites with timely information of interest to policymakers and researchers. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations
expressed by third parties as reported in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect OPPAGA's views.
Permission is granted to make and distribute verbatim copies of
PolicyNotes provided that this section is preserved on all copies.
|
|
|