April 2, 2021
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This report describes the U.S. Bureau of Justice
Statistics’ (BJS) activities during 2019 and 2020 to
collect data and report on human trafficking as required
by the Combat Human Trafficking Act of 2015 (34 U.S.C. §
20709(e)(2)(B)). The report details ongoing and completed
efforts to measure and analyze the nationwide incidence
of human trafficking, to describe characteristics of
human-trafficking victims and offenders, and to describe
criminal justice responses to human-trafficking offenses
by state and local law enforcement, prosecutors, and
courts. In 2019, BJS conducted its first data collection
on the roles of state attorneys general in combatting
human trafficking, with an overall response rate of 84%.
Of the 47 attorneys general offices that responded to the
survey, 3 reported closing one or more cases of labor
trafficking with a guilty defendant, while 16 reported
closing one or more cases of sex trafficking with a
guilty defendant. Participation in the Federal Bureau of
Investigation's Uniform Crime Reporting Program Human
Trafficking (UCR-HT) data collection, which tracks
arrests and cases concerning commercial sex acts and
involuntary servitude, grew from 37 states in 2015 to 45
states in 2019. The number of involuntary servitude
arrests reported to the UCR-HT rose from 66 in 2015 to
146 in 2019. Arrests for commercial sex acts fluctuated
between 2015 and 2017 then stabilized from 2017 to 2019,
with 562 such arrests reported in 2019.
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Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics
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The authors analyze the extent and consequences of
unequal representation on juries in Harris County
(Houston), Texas. The authors first document that
residents from predominantly white and high-income
neighborhoods are substantially over-represented on
juries. Using quasi-random variation in those called for
jury duty each day, the authors next establish that Black
defendants are more likely to be convicted and receive
longer sentences from juries with more residents from
these over-represented neighborhoods. They estimate that
equal representation would reduce Black defendants’
median sentence length by 50% and the probability of
receiving a life sentence by 67%. Straightforward
remedies such as oversampling residents from
under-represented neighborhoods in calls for jury duty
and expanding source lists of potential jurors beyond
registered voters and individuals with a driver’s license
could mitigate this severe bias.
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Source: National Bureau of Economic Research
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Local governments spend $25 billion annually to operate
more than 3,000 jails nationwide. There are more than 10
million bookings into jail each year, usually for crimes
related to poverty, mental illness, and substance use.
The cost and reach of jails are staggering. Fortunately,
jail populations in the country’s largest cities have
declined dramatically during the past decade. To see if
spending on jails has changed in line with decreasing
local incarceration numbers, this report examines the
county jails in 48 large U.S. cities. Since 2011, jail
budgets have increased 13%, accounting for inflation,
while jail populations declined 28%. Jail costs have
continued to increase because counties have not downsized
the number of jail employees, who account for 73% of jail
costs. If, in the 48 locations studied, local governments
right-sized their jail budgets, they would save $2.2
billion a year; and potentially even more if jail
populations decline further. Jail locations reviewed in
Florida include Miami, Tampa, and Jacksonville.
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Source: Vera Institute of Justice
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In academic year 2018–19, the national high school
graduation rate for U.S. students increased by 0.5
percentage points from the previous year to 85.8%. This
table provides the public high school 4-year adjusted
cohort graduation rate, by race/ethnicity and selected
demographic characteristics for the United States, the 50
states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico for
school year 2018–19. For Florida, the statewide
graduation rate was higher than the national rate at
87.2%. In Florida, students with disabilities had a
graduation rate of 81.0% (compared to the national
average of 68.2%) and Florida English Language Learners
had a graduation rate of 75.2% (compared to the national
average of 69.2%).
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Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, U.S.
Department of Education
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Instructional time policy is critical to education
service delivery because it sets minimum, and sometimes
maximum, requirements for learning time. Each state
defines instructional time differently, and states have
varying requirements in policy. This report provides an
easy reference for top-level information on instructional
time, including trends in policies and legislative
examples. Thirty-one states (including Florida), plus the
District of Columbia, require at least 180 days of
instruction. Thirty-five states differentiate
instructional time requirements by grade level. The
median required instructional hours per year for 9th
graders has increased from 1,016 in 2008 to 1,056 in
2020. Fewer states are specifying minimum instructional
time per day requirements (35 states in 2007 down to 31
states in 2020).
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Source: Education Commission of the States
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The authors study the effect of exposure to immigrants on
the educational outcomes of U.S.-born students, using a
unique dataset combining population-level birth and
school records from Florida. This research question is
complicated by substantial school selection of U.S.-born
students, especially among White and comparatively
affluent students, in response to the presence of
immigrant students in the school. The authors propose a
new identification strategy to partial out the unobserved
non-random selection into schools, and find that the
presence of immigrant students has a positive effect on
the academic achievement of U.S.-born students,
especially for students from disadvantaged backgrounds.
Moreover, the presence of immigrants does not affect
negatively the performance of affluent U.S.-born
students, who typically show a higher academic
achievement compared to immigrant students. The authors
provide suggestive evidence on potential channels.
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Source: National Bureau of Economic Research
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Congress has passed a number of laws to help improve
federal management and accountability—including the
Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA)
Modernization Act of 2010 and the Evidence Act of 2018.
These acts aim to strengthen agencies' efforts to build
strong evidence to support federal policies. The U.S.
Government Accountability Office (GAO) developed this
glossary to clarify some key concepts that can help
federal agencies strengthen the quality of their
evidence. It highlights different sources of evidence
that can support federal decision-making—such as program
evaluations and performance measurement. Both the
executive branch and congressional committees need
evaluative information to help them make decisions about
the programs they oversee—information that tells them
whether, and why, a program is working well or not. The
GPRA of 1993 and GPRA Modernization Act of 2010
established a framework for performance management and
accountability within the federal government. Building on
that foundation, Congress has since passed, among other
laws, the Foundations for Evidence-Based Policymaking Act
of 2018 (Evidence Act) to strengthen the
evidence-building efforts of executive branch agencies.
This product updates the GAO’s previous glossary to
highlight different types of evaluations for answering
questions about program performance, as well as relevant
issues to ensure study quality. This glossary can help
officials better understand fundamental concepts related
to evaluation and enhance their evidence-building capacity.
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Source: U.S. Government Accountability Office
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The COVID-19 pandemic required a major federal response.
But even before that, the federal government's long-term
fiscal path was unsustainable because debt was growing
faster than the economy. Under the authors’ projections,
the debt will reach its highest point in history in 2028
and continue to grow faster than gross domestic product.
In Fiscal Year 2020, debt held by the public reached
about 100% of GDP, up from about 79% in Fiscal Year 2019.
Once public health goals are achieved and the economy
substantially recovers, Congress and the administration
should quickly pivot to putting the government on a
sustainable long-term fiscal path. The authors list
options to contribute toward fiscal health including
narrowing the tax gap, addressing improper payments, and
implementing program reforms.
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Source: U.S. Government Accountability Office
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From housekeeping to grocery retail to care work, risky,
essential jobs are disproportionately low-paying. Using
essential worker classifications and 2018 data from the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, this study finds that
22.3 million essential workers were in occupations with a
median wage of less than $15 an hour—comprising
approximately half (47%) of all workers in these low-wage
occupations. Black and brown workers are overrepresented
among essential workers in low-wage frontline positions
that pose health risks. Several studies show that
essential workers’ workplace exposure to COVID-19 has
resulted in higher rates of contracting the virus, severe
illness, and death. Researchers at the University of
Pennsylvania determined that essential workers in
Pennsylvania had a 55% higher likelihood than
non-essential workers of testing positive for COVID-19
during the spring 2020 shutdown. Cohabitating dependents
of essential workers had a 17% higher likelihood of
testing positive, while roommates had a 38% higher
likelihood. The report provides three recommendations
related to essential worker pay, three recommendations to
increase protection for essential workers (including
prioritizing their vaccine access), and one
recommendation to empower essential workers.
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Source: Brookings Institute
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Created by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, the
Opportunity Zone program was designed to encourage
investment in distressed communities across the U.S. The
authors examine the early impacts of the Opportunity Zone
program on residents of targeted areas. The authors
leverage restricted-access microdata from the American
Community Survey and employ difference-in-differences and
matching approaches to estimate causal reduced-form
effects of the program. The results point to modest, if
any, positive effects of the Opportunity Zone program on
the employment, earnings, or poverty of zone residents.
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Source: National Bureau of Economic Research
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This interactive map highlights state- and county-level
variation in disability prevalence and participation
rates in the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) and
Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) programs
among working-age adults (ages 18 to 64) in 2018. The
national disability prevalence is 10% with 43 working-age
adults per 1,000 on SSDI and 18 working-age adults per
1,000 on SSI. In Florida, the disability prevalence is
also 10% with 45 working-age adults per 1,000 on Social
Security Disability Insurance and 14 working-age adults
per 1,000 on Supplemental Security Income. The counties
in Florida with the highest percentage of disability
prevalence are Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, Collier,
Hardee, and Seminole.
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Source: Mathematica
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In 2019, 70,630 deaths from the toxic effects of drug
poisoning (drug overdose) occurred in the United States,
a 4.8% increase compared with 2018 and the highest
recorded number in recent history. Drug overdose deaths
remain a persistent and urgent public health problem in
the U.S. This report provides information on drug
overdose mortality by state (and the District of
Columbia) and by race and ethnicity, and adds to findings
from a recently published
report on drug overdose death rates. The
age-adjusted rate for drug overdose deaths in the United
States for 2019 was 21.6 per 100,000 standard population.
The five states with the highest rates were West Virginia
(52.8), Delaware (48.0), District of Columbia (43.2),
Ohio (38.3), and Maryland (38.2). The five states with
the lowest rates were Nebraska (8.7), South Dakota
(10.5), Texas (10.8), North Dakota (11.4), and Iowa
(11.5). Florida had 25.5 deaths per 100,000 standard
population. The age-adjusted drug overdose death rate for
the non-Hispanic white population in 2019 (26.2 per
100,000 standard population) was 21.3% higher than the
national rate. The rate for the non-Hispanic black
population (24.8) was 14.8% higher than the national
rate. The rate for the non-Hispanic American Indian or
Alaska Native population (30.5) was 41.2% higher than the
national rate. The rate for the non-Hispanic Asian
population (3.3) was 84.7% lower than the national rate.
The rate for the non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other
Pacific Islander population (9.5) was 56.0% lower than
the national rate. The rate for the Hispanic population
(12.7) was 41.2% lower than the national rate.
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Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.
Department of Health and Human Services
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In the United States, most people obtain health insurance
either through an employer or a public program like
Medicare or Medicaid. But some people—about 11% of the
non-elderly population in 2019 according to this paper’s
estimates—lack access to public or employer coverage.
These people must instead seek non-group coverage, either
through the marketplaces established by the Affordable
Care Act (ACA) or outside the marketplaces. For many
purposes, including assessing proposals to increase
non-group enrollment such as the recently enacted
increases in the ACA’s subsidies for marketplace plans,
it is useful to know how many people have non-group
coverage, what forms of non-group coverage they have, how
many potential enrollees remain unenrolled, and how
enrollment rates vary by income. To that end, this paper
estimates how many non-elderly people in different income
groups held marketplace coverage, off-marketplace
coverage that qualifies as minimum essential coverage
(MEC) under the ACA, or non-MEC non-group policies (e.g.,
short-term limited duration plans), as well as how many
lacked any coverage, in 2019. For instance, this paper
found that half of potential subsidy recipients were
enrolled in non-group MEC, and take-up rates varied only
modestly with income. In addition, the authors found that
the large majority of potential subsidy recipients who
lacked MEC had incomes below 400% of the federal poverty
level.
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Source: Brookings Institute
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Government Program Summaries (GPS) is a free resource for legislators and the public that provides descriptive information on over 200 state government programs. To provide fiscal data, GPS links to Transparency
Florida, the Legislature's website that includes continually updated information on the state's operating budget and daily expenditures by state agencies.
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A publication of the Florida Legislature's Office of Program Policy Analysis & Government Accountability
PolicyNotes, published every Friday, features reports, articles, and websites with timely information of interest to policymakers and researchers. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations
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