September 9, 2022
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This trend report provides data for youth arrests
involving violent crime since 2010, and notes changes in
trends since the 1990s and 1980s. The estimated number of
youth arrests for violent crime, which includes murder,
robbery, and aggravated assault, has declined since the
mid-2000s. By 2020, the number of violent crime arrests
involving youth reached a new low, 78% below the 1994
peak, and half the number 10 years prior. Overall, 8% of
youth arrests involved a violent crime. Males accounted
for 80% of all youth arrests for violent crimes in 2020,
but their share of murder (92%) and robbery (88%) arrests
was much greater. Youth ages 16–17 accounted for more than
half (55%) of all youth arrests for violent crime, but
accounted for three-fourths of all youth arrests for
murder. White youth accounted for nearly half (49%) of all
youth arrests for violent crime, and 57% of youth arrests
for aggravated assault.
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Source: U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice
Programs
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With the influx of synthetic opioids like fentanyl and
other emerging drugs of abuse (commonly referred to as
novel psychoactive substances) into forensic casework over
the last several years, laboratories are working on
innovative solutions to the challenges of narcotics
analysis. Labs are increasingly tasked with processing
more complex samples, including those containing more
highly toxic chemicals. Current screening methods, such as
color tests (which indicate presence/absence of a
particular drug class) and gas chromatography with flame
ionization (GC-FID, which measures substances in gas
steam), are becoming less effective due to the greater
complexity of submitted samples. These issues translate
into growing burdens on labs, who are already facing
mounting backlogs. The U.S. National Institute of
Justice-funded researchers from the Maryland State Police
analyzed the current drug evidence analysis caseflow and
evaluated whether a re-envisioned workflow employing
direct analysis real-time mass spectrometry (DART-MS)
could lead to increased safety, speed, sensitivity, and
selectivity in controlled substance analysis. DART-MS drug
analysis is more information-rich, more sensitive, less
hindered by cutting agents, and better able to distinguish
between similar chemical structures than color tests and
GC-FID. Results indicated that DART-MS improved safety,
speed, sensitivity, and selectivity over traditional
colorimetric tests and GC-FID analyses. A targeted method
for confirmation using gas chromatography allowed for a
more rapid analysis with a higher sensitivity by providing
analysts with a more information-rich screening tool.
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Source: U.S. Department of Justice, National Institute of
Justice
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Public education looms large in criminal law reform. As
states debate what to invest in – other than criminal law
enforcement – to provide safety and security to the
public, public schools have emerged as a popular answer.
Today, legislatures move money from prisons to public
education, arguing that this reinvestment can address the
root causes of mass incarceration. This article analyzes
this reinvestment trend from the perspective of public
schools. It takes seriously the possibility that diverting
money from incarceration to public education can help
address the root causes of mass incarceration and it
argues that realizing this possibility requires a more
expansive approach to reinvestment than is demonstrated in
current legal reforms. This expansive approach to
reinvestment situates the provision of education within a
constellation of interconnected needs, increases power
over diverted funds for those who have historically been
excluded from educational decisions, and confronts the
underlying race, class, and gender resentments used to
justify asymmetrical spending on incarceration and public
education. By analyzing reinvestment approaches to
carceral reform from the perspective of public schools,
this article underscores the contested nature of the
reinvestment movement. It maps both the restrictive and
transformative directions carceral reinvestment can take,
and it points to several promising efforts such as
interweaving education with other supports to address
poverty and inequality that make use of a more
transformative approach to reconfigure the relationship
between public welfare and the carceral state.
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Source: Social Science Research Network
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In 2022, the National Center for Education Statistics
conducted a special administration of the National
Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) long-term trend
reading and mathematics assessments for age 9 students to
examine student achievement during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Average scores for age 9 students in 2022 declined 5
points in reading and 7 points in mathematics compared to
2020. This is the largest average score decline in reading
since 1990, and the first ever score decline in
mathematics. Of the 70% of 9-year-olds who learned
remotely during the 2020–21 school year, higher performers
(those at or above the 75th percentile) had greater access
to a desktop computer, laptop, or tablet all the time; a
quiet place to work available some of the time; and a
teacher available to help them with mathematics or reading
schoolwork every day or almost every day compared to lower
performers (those below the 25th percentile).
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Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for
Education Statistics
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A primary focus among colleges implementing student
success reforms has been to increase overall rates of
credential completion and to reduce racial and
socioeconomic equity gaps in completion rates. The focus
on general completion may overlook inequities in the type
of program students complete, which is particularly
significant given the wide variety of credentials offered
at community colleges—from short-term certificates to
transfer-oriented associate degrees that may lead to
bachelor’s and graduate degree programs—and the resulting
variation in labor market returns among completers. This
study examines racial/ethnic stratification among
community college students as they enter and progress
through different programs leading to higher- and
lower-paying jobs. The authors develop a discrete-time
survival analysis using longitudinal enrollment and
transcript data on first-time-in-college,
credential-seeking community college students from a state
with more than 20 community colleges. They track student
enrollment, completion, and transfer for up to nine years
and examine when equity gaps in completion emerge. Results
suggest that a significant gap in the likelihood of
bachelor’s degree completion between Black and White
students emerges more episodically, while the gap between
Hispanic and White students develops earlier and remains
more consistent over time. Results also suggest that while
all students generally benefit from the attainment of
academic milestones, such as gaining credit momentum or
completing pre-transfer associate degrees, doing so
disproportionately benefits Black and Hispanic students.
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Source: Research in Higher Education
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This study examined how attaining English proficiency and
being reclassified as fluent English proficient affected
achievement in English language arts and math in the first
year after student reclassification in grades 3–8 in New
Mexico. State policy in New Mexico bases student
reclassification decisions on whether students attain a
minimum overall English language proficiency level score
of 5.0 on the ACCESS for ELLs (ACCESS) assessment. The
study focused on achievement among English learner
students in 2014/15–2018/19, a time when the ACCESS
underwent a standards setting process to better align its
language proficiency scoring scale with the expectations
of college- and career-ready standards. After the
standards setting, a smaller percentage of English learner
students in New Mexico attained English proficiency and
were reclassified each year. At the same time, students
who scored near the English proficiency level required for
reclassification performed above the statewide average in
English language arts and math and were more likely to
meet state content proficiency standards. However, the
study found no effects of reclassification on student
achievement either before or after the ACCESS standards
setting. In addition, the study found no effect of
reclassification on next-year English language arts and
math achievement among most groups of students with
different characteristics and among most districts in the
study. Leaders at the New Mexico Public Education
Department could use the findings of this study to
consider maintaining the current reclassification
threshold. In addition, the state and its districts might
want to identify opportunities to strengthen the supports
provided to English learner students. This could begin by
collecting more systematic information on the education
services and supports that English learner students
receive leading up to and after they attain English
proficiency.
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Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of
Education Sciences
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English is the most common language spoken at home in the
United States, with 78% of the U.S. population speaking
only English. Since 1980, the number of people speaking
only English at home has increased steadily; however,
there was a proportionally greater increase for the
population speaking a language other than English. In
1890, the U.S. Census Bureau began asking its respondents
about the languages they speak, and it has continued to do
so until the present day (except for the 1950 Census, when
the question was omitted). Some languages have shown
remarkable growth since 1980, while others have declined.
The largest numeric increase was for Spanish speakers
(30.6 million more speakers in 2019 than in 1980). Chinese
speakers had the second-largest numeric increase (2.9
million more speakers in 2019 than in 1980). Over the
decade, from 2009 to 2019, the share of the U.S.
population 5 years old and over speaking a language other
than English at home grew from 20% to 22%, while the share
of the U.S. population who spoke English less than “very
well” decreased from 9% to 8%, indicating that English
ability improved among those who spoke a language other
than English. In other words, of the population that spoke
a language other than English, the percentage who could
speak English “very well” increased from 57% to 62% from
2009 to 2019. In southwestern states such as California,
Nevada, New Mexico, and Texas, and the eastern states of
Florida, New Jersey, and New York, at least 30% of people
5 years and over spoke languages other than English.
Florida is notable in that it experienced a 26% growth by
adding about 1.3 million people who spoke a language other
than English from 2010 to 2019, after starting with a
large population of this group (4.9 million in 2010).
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Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau
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Disparities in military career success and representation
of women and minority groups persist despite attempts to
rectify those disparities. To help inject better
information into the U.S. Armed Forces' campaigns to
address racial/ethnic and gender disparities, the authors
present a decision support tool concept and prototype, the
Military Demographic Equity Machine (MDEM), which, if
developed further, could assist human resources
decisionmakers by offering them a better understanding of
various policies' effects. The MDEM, which is based on the
Bayesian network method, enables visualization of
up-to-date racial, ethnic, and gender disparities across
paygrades as well as examination of the effectiveness of
potential mitigation strategies. The Military Demographic
Equity Support Tool (MDEST), based on the MDEM, uses
inputs and metrics that are easy to understand and explain
while reflecting the cumulative impact across career
stages, incorporates contributing factors in addition to
race/ethnicity and gender in a way that points to the root
causes of disparities, presents results that reflect the
current state of personnel policy in each area of the
career life cycle, and incorporates new information as it
becomes available. The MDEST concept demonstration and
initial results show some promise for its viability as a
tool for senior human resource management leaders to use
in assessing and planning programs and policies that aim
to promote greater equity in the military personnel
system. The authors note that a version of this tool,
validated for accuracy and designed with end-user testing,
could greatly improve planners’ understanding of the
personnel environment and make it easier to communicate at
different levels concerning the real-time state of the
system and ongoing efforts to improve it.
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Source: RAND Corporation
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This analysis of the business sector over the COVID-19
period finds that, despite initial fears of widespread
failure, existing businesses and new entrepreneurship have
defied earlier expectations, ending 2021 with nearly
450,000 more establishments in operation than prior to the
pandemic. Underneath these aggregate results, patterns
across industries reveal evidence of considerable economic
restructuring. A large share of new business creation has
occurred in the industries most exposed to the pandemic
downturn, primarily face-to-face services like
restaurants. Other new business activity, such as online
retail and data services, reflect new opportunities in the
transition to a more remote environment. This report also
traces the employment implications of this churn to
uncover the impacts of initial employment losses and
recent recovery across businesses of varying sizes. While
questions remain around the contribution of these new
dynamics to job creation and productivity, the persistence
of these shifts and the resiliency of small businesses
will play key roles in determining the path of the
recovery moving forward.
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Source: Brookings Institute
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Burnout is a complex issue resulting from chronic
workplace stress that encompasses exhaustion,
depersonalization, and reduced personal accomplishment.
Burnout has physical and emotional consequences for
individuals and impacts their work with clients and within
an organization. This guide first provides an overview of
the current evidence on organization-level interventions
to prevent and reduce burnout. The guide then highlights
organization-level interventions to prevent and reduce
burnout among behavioral health workers. The guide notes
that to fully address burnout, organizations need to adopt
strategies that improve their organizational culture and
climate to modify the six drivers of burnout: workload,
control, reward, community, fairness, and values.
Additionally, the guide provides examples of programs that
use these strategies as well as guidance and resources for
evaluating organization-level strategies to address
burnout and monitor outcomes.
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Source: U.S. Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services
Administration
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This study uses occupational data from the Health and
Retirement Study, a University of Michigan longitudinal
panel study that surveys a representative sample of
approximately 20,000 people in America, supported by the
National Institute on Aging (NIA), to document the link
between disability onset and occupational transitions
among older adults who are working and do not report a
disabling condition at age 55. The authors find that
one-quarter of workers go on to experience new
disabilities before full-retirement age. Relative to their
peers who do not report disabilities, stopping work and
significant occupational changes are more common among
workers who experience new disabilities. The results
suggest that policies to support labor force attachment
might consider the importance of new disability onset and
whether employer accommodations might help workers with
new disabling conditions remain in the jobs they held when
their health began to limit their work.
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Source: Mathematica
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Safe and effective vaccines have vastly reduced the
lethality of the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide, but
disparities exist in vaccine take-up. Although the
out-of-pocket price is set to zero in the U.S., time
(information gathering, signing up, transportation and
waiting) and misinformation costs still apply. To
understand the extent to which geographic access impacts
COVID-19 vaccination take-up rates and COVID-19 health
outcomes, the authors leverage exogenous, pre-existing
variation in locations of retail pharmacies participating
the U.S. federal government’s vaccine distribution program
through which over 40% of US vaccine doses were
administered. The authors use unique data on nearly all
COVID-19 vaccine administrations in 2021. The authors find
that the presence of a participating retail pharmacy
vaccination site in a county leads to an approximately 26%
increase in the per-capita number of doses administered,
possibly indicating that proximity and familiarity play a
substantial role in vaccine take-up decisions. Increases
in county-level per capita participating retail pharmacies
lead to an increase in COVID-19 vaccination rates and a
decline in the number of new COVID-19 cases,
hospitalizations, and deaths, with substantial
heterogeneity based on county rurality, political
leanings, income, and race composition. The relationship
the authors estimate suggests that averting one COVID-19
case, hospitalization, and death requires approximately
25, 200, and 1,500 county-level vaccine total doses,
respectively. These results imply a 9,500% to 22,500%
economic return on the full costs of COVID-19 vaccination.
Overall, these findings add to understanding vaccine
take-up decisions for the design of COVID era and other
public health interventions.
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Source: National Bureau of Economic Research
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Government Program Summaries (GPS) is a free resource for legislators and the public that provides descriptive information on over 200 state government programs. To provide fiscal data, GPS links to Transparency
Florida, the Legislature's website that includes continually updated information on the state's operating budget and daily expenditures by state agencies.
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