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October 17, 2025
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In 2023, correctional authorities in the United States had
jurisdiction over 1.2 million individuals in state or
federal prisons, an increase of 2% from 2022. This report
provides counts of incarcerated individuals under the
jurisdiction of state and federal correctional authorities
in 2023, including findings on admissions, releases, and
imprisonment rates. Key findings include that the number of
females in state or federal prison increased almost 4% from
2022 (87,800) to 2023 (91,100), prison populations in seven
states increased by more than 1,000 persons from 2022 to
2023, the incarceration rate in 2023 (360 individuals per
100,000 U.S. residents of all ages) was down 25% from 2013
(479 individuals per 100,000) but up 2% from 2022 (355
individuals per 100,000), and incarceration rates for
individuals age 18 or older increased for black and white
adults between 2022-23. In addition, eight states had at
least 500 more admissions to prison in 2023 compared to
2022, and in 2022 and 2023, about 70% of all prison releases
were conditional on community supervision or other
requirements.
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Source: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice
Statistics
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This report presents estimates of non-fatal criminal
victimizations reported and not reported to police from the
U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics’
National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). This report
includes statistics on non-fatal violent crimes (rape or
sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple
assault) and property crimes (burglary or trespassing, motor
vehicle theft, and other types of household theft). This
report found that in 2024, 1.45% of persons age 12 or older
experienced at least one violent victimization.
Specifically, veterans experienced 455,240 violent
victimizations in 2024. In the same year, there were 23.3
violent victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in
the United States. In addition, the rate of violent
victimizations reported to police was 11.2 per 1,000 persons
age 12 or older in 2024. There were 13.1 million property
victimizations in 2024. However, property crime rates in
rural areas decreased from 2023 (56.5 per 1,000 households)
to 2024 (48.3 per 1,000).
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Source: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice
Statistics
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Recent studies show that transportation insecurity among
students and the effects of these barriers on everything
from whether students enroll in college and succeed in
earning a degree, to whether students are able to maintain
their mental health. Structural barriers, such as limited
transit options and unreliable service, can determine
whether students attend the college of their choice, make it
to class on time, consistently attend classes, or take on a
job to support themselves. These challenges also affect
their ability to access healthcare or manage caregiving
responsibilities. When getting from home to campus is too
costly, too slow, or too unpredictable, fulfilling school,
work, or caregiving responsibilities may simply be
impossible. Students’ transportation needs and the barriers
they face vary due to differences in geography,
infrastructure, and the availability of alternatives to
driving. The researchers partnered with Florida Atlantic
University to understand how transportation barriers affect
students’ daily lives. RThey found that 84% of surveyed
students had regular access to a car, but the financial
burden was substantial. Approximately 76% of surveyed
students covered part or all of the vehicle maintenance
costs. In addition, 54% of surveyed students never used
public transportation, underscoring the challenges of
relying on a system that many students see as inconvenient
or unreliable. Focus group discussions revealed that some
students find that transportation insecurity consumes too
much mental energy due to external factors, such as planning
around traffic, construction, parking, or delays.
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Source: MDRC
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About one in seven young people aged 18 to 24 report not
being engaged in school, training, or work. This group of
nearly 4.2 million disconnected youth is unlikely to be on a
path toward economic prosperity. Experiencing disconnection
has enormous costs for the individual and for broader
society; disconnected young people forego more than $12,000
per year in earnings in the short term and are expected to
earn less throughout their working lives than those who have
not experienced disconnection. The total costs to society
from a young person’s disconnection throughout their youth
can be as high as $1 million (in 2025 dollars), including
lost earnings, lost tax revenues, and other costs. Key
takeaways from this report include that about one in seven
young people (aged 18–24) are disconnected—that is, not
engaging in school, training, or work. The definition of
disconnected youth includes groups with very different
experiences but excludes a large group of individuals who
are only marginally connected to education or employment.
This suggests a need for revising the definition to include
young people with marginal attachments and examining
subgroups separately. Young men have higher rates of
disconnection than young women, but family status,
race/ethnicity, and disability status generally are more
important than sex in explaining disconnection rates. Most
young people experiencing disconnection have at least a high
school diploma. This suggests that efforts to promote high
school graduation alone will not solve the problem of
disconnected youth. Community factors matter. Youth
disconnection rates are higher in communities in which fewer
adult men are employed. Young veterans have high rates of
disconnection. Especially among female veterans, family
status appears to drive disconnection. This suggests that
even when the research team examined disconnection by
subgroup, the findings may still mask differences in level
of disconnection within the subgroup.
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Source: RAND Corporation
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Despite a large earnings premium for bachelor’s degree
completion in general, graduates from low-income families
earn substantially less than graduates from high-income
families. While prior research has documented the role of
college quality and major choice in explaining these gaps,
the authors examine undermatching on a different margin: the
first (post-college) job transition. The transition from
college to the labor market can be challenging to navigate,
and students with financial, informational, or other
disadvantages during the job search may be more likely to
“undermatch” to their first job. Using administrative data
from a large, urban, public college system, the authors
document large gaps in earnings five years after graduation
by socioeconomic status (proxied by financial aid receipt)
that remain unexplained even after controlling for grade
point average, college, field of study, and other
pre-graduation characteristics. They then examine how
features of the initial job transition relate to longer-term
earnings, and to what extent differences in the first job
transition can explain later socioeconomic status earnings
gaps. Their results show that first job transitions are
rocky for many graduates, strongly predict earnings at Year
5, and are a substantial mediator of socioeconomic gaps in
earnings five years after college graduation—reducing the
unexplained gap by almost two-thirds.
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Source: Community College Research Center
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The rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI) has driven
a surge in computational demand, creating unprecedented
pressures on U.S. data centers and the electric power grid.
The authors of this report identified the key constraints
limiting the grid's ability to expand capacity and support
future AI growth. They also reviewed research on barriers to
increasing electricity supply, assessed which could be
addressed by 2030, and suggested courses of action to tackle
those barriers. The report provides their recommendations
for federal and state regulators, grid planners, and system
operators, along with estimates of the additional capacity
that could be achieved if these barriers are resolved. Key
findings include that (1) Permitting delays can be caused by
poor coordination between agencies for permitting processes
and time needed for permitting processes. Potential risks of
addressing these barriers include community opposition,
insufficient developer interest, and negative impacts on the
environment; (2) Interconnection processes can be lengthy,
complex, and costly and result in interconnection rights
that are under-used because of inconsistent implementation,
lack of standardization, and insufficient market incentives.
Potential risks of addressing these barriers include
diversion of resources from interconnection reform, grid
reliability risks, and unequal access to fast-track
processes; (3) Transmission can be underutilized for a
variety of reasons, including suboptimal transmission line
configuration and usage, substantial costs for network
upgrades, minimal incentives to adopt grid-enhancing
technologies, and limited operator capabilities to manage
and analyze large volumes of data. Potential risks to
addressing these barriers include costs of implementing
congestion pricing and cyberattacks on a better-connected
grid; and (4) Many data centers rely not just on diesel
generators but also on the limited or inconsistent resources
for supplemental generation. Potential risks to addressing
these barriers include difficulties in developing a
commitment mechanism to use supplemental generators, supply
chain disruptions, and the reliability of on-site generation.
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Source: RAND Corporation
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Small businesses play a critical role in the U.S. economy.
Yet many small business owners struggle to access the
capital they need to sustain and grow their businesses. To
explore how to bridge this credit gap for small business
owners, the research team reviewed the Get Ready loan
program, a credit-building product and financial coaching
program for small business owners offered by Ascendus, a
community development financial institution. The program
provides borrowers a $500 line of credit, with the ability
to graduate to a $5,000 line of credit after three months of
on-time repayment. The program has provided important access
to capital for small business owners who might otherwise
struggle to access traditional loans. After two years, the
program has shown promise toward improving access to capital
and financial health, developing new borrowers, and
providing a replicable model. Several borrowers noted that
the program took a chance on them when no other lender
would. Incoming borrowers had an average credit score of
571, lower than the typical threshold traditional lenders
use. The program reaches borrowers largely unable to access
capital via other lenders. Despite coming into the program
with credit challenges, 41% of participants graduated from
the $500 line of credit to the $5,000 line of credit.
Several participants were also able to access additional
loans outside the program. Borrower impressions of the
program were largely positive, particularly regarding
financial coaching. Many noted increased financial literacy
and felt the program gave them tools to help them manage
their credit. There is demand for the program. Ascendus has
a pipeline of 150 potential borrowers in the application
process. Yet the program requires grant support to expand
its reach and impact into new markets. Additional research
is needed to understand the program’s full impact. In
particular, more analysis is needed to understand the
program’s long-term outcomes on borrowers, including
improvements to their finances and credit standing. Some
borrowers had suggestions for improvements. Some suggested
the addition of a user-friendly mobile app to manage
accounts. Others noted challenges with the line of credit’s
low dollar amount.
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Source: Urban Institute
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The plurality voting rule used in most U.S. elections has
been the subject of debate, with some noting that it may
misrepresent voters' preferences and allow for candidates
who lack broad support to be elected. To better understand
how alternative voting rules may perform in real-world
elections, researchers built an agent-based model grounded
in real-world survey data from the American National
Election Studies. The researchers simulated more than half a
million Senate elections to quantify and compare the
performance of eight voting rules on the extent to which
they resisted spoiler effects and elected winners who were
centrist, representative, and majority preferred. A
Condorcet winner is a candidate who beats all other
candidates in a pairwise (one-on-one) comparisons. A
Condorcet-compliant rule is a voting rule that elects the
Condorcet winner whenever one exists. The authors found a
stark, consistent performance gap between Condorcet- and
non-Condorcet voting rules but minimal differences within
the class of Condorcet voting rules. The most widely debated
voting rules in electoral reform discourse-plurality and
instant run-off voting-showed lower performance on all
measures analyzed. The authors also noted that Copeland Rule
(if there is no Condorcet winner, elect the candidate who
wins the greatest net number of pairwise comparisons) was
the only voting rule not vulnerable to spoiler effects. A
spoiler effect is when a candidate who does not win the
election but, by entering, draws enough support from other
candidates to alter the outcome in favor of a less-preferred
alternative. The results suggest that alternatives to the
status quo (plurality) that go beyond familiar options like
instant run-off voting may warrant consideration.
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Source: Mathematica
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The annual National Survey on Drug Use and Health provides
nationally representative data on the use of tobacco,
alcohol, and illicit drugs; substance use disorders; mental
health conditions; suicidal thoughts and behavior; and
receipt of substance use and mental health treatment among
the civilian, noninstitutionalized population aged 12 or
older in the United States, with nearly 70,000 respondents
in 2024. Key findings include that among adults aged 18
years or older, the percentage who had any mental illness or
serious mental illness in the past year showed no change
from 2021 to 2024; among people aged 12 years or older in
2024, 58.3% used tobacco products, vaped nicotine, used
alcohol, or used an illicit drug in the past month; and
among adolescents aged 12 to 17 in 2024 with a co-occurring
major depressive episode and a substance use disorder in the
past year, 72.1% received either substance use treatment or
mental health treatment in the past year, and 27.9% received
neither type of treatment. In 2024, 31.7 million adults aged
18 or older (or 12.2%) perceived that they had ever had a
problem with their use of alcohol or drugs. Among these
adults, 74.3% (or 23.5 million people) considered themselves
to be in recovery or to have recovered. Similarly, 67.8
million adults aged 18 or older (or 26.1%) perceived that
they ever had a mental health issue. Among these adults,
66.9% (or 45.0 million people) considered themselves to be
in recovery or to have recovered.
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Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services,
Substance Use and Mental Health Services Administration
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The National Substance Use and Mental Health Services Survey
is sponsored by the Center for Behavioral Health Statistics
and Quality of the U.S. Substance Abuse and Mental Health
Services Administration. The survey is a comprehensive
national source of data on treatment services provided by
substance use and mental health treatment facilities in the
United States, its territories, and the District of
Columbia. Key findings include that private organizations
operated 90.3% (n = 14,421) of substance use treatment
facilities, 86.0% (n = 12,114) of mental health treatment
facilities, and 87.5% (n = 7,733) of combined treatment
facilities. In 2021, among mental health treatment
facilities, the top two licensing, certification, and
accreditation sources were state mental health authorities
(68.8%, n = 6,226) and U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services (50.9%, n = 4,608). In 2024, the top two licensing,
certification, and accreditation sources were state mental
health authorities (60.1%, n = 8,468) and state departments
of health (49.1%, n = 6,917). Among substance use treatment
facilities, 63.5% (n = 10,131) provided suicide prevention
services. Of the top 10 geographic distributions, more than
76.5% of substance use treatment facilities provided suicide
prevention services with Wyoming (88.9%, n = 48) providing
the highest percentage.
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Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services,
Substance Use and Mental Health Services Administration
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Millions of Americans aged 65 and older have limited
financial resources and may struggle to afford essential
necessities such as medical care and groceries. Medicare
Savings Programs (MSPs), which help pay Medicare premiums
and, in some cases, other expenses such as deductibles and
copayments, and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance
Program (SNAP) are critical government programs that can
provide substantial financial assistance to older adults
with low incomes to meet these needs. However, t eligible
older adults have historically had low rates of
participation in both programs. Using both national and
state-level eligibility estimates, this analysis seeks to
determine the extent of the eligibility overlap in SNAP and
MSPs— that is, the number of older adults eligible for both
programs—and examines characteristics of older adults who
are eligible for both programs. Key findings include that
about 5.5 million (or nearly 1 in 10) adults ages 65 and
older were eligible for both the Supplemental Nutrition
Assistance Program and a Medicare Savings Program in Fiscal
Year 2022-23 and older adults eligible for SNAP were similar
to those eligible for MSPs in terms of demographics,
employment, and income. These characteristics include that
56% of older adults were aged 65 to 74, 95% of older adults
were retired, and 91% of older adults had no countable SNAP
income.
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Source: AARP Public Policy Institute
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